Vaccines and SIDS (Crib Death)

Vaccines and SIDS (Crib Death)

Posted on August 6, 2023





Steve Kirsch
Executive summary
They are lying to you.
Most of the SIDS cases (likely 75% or more) are due to the childhood vaccines. Vaccines are the main cause of autism as well, likely 75% or more.
In fact, pediatric clinics that avoid vaccines have zero, or near-zero, rates of SIDS and autism.
In this article, I’m going to discuss how just two black swans can destroy the medical consensus by proving that the medical community couldn’t have gotten it right on their claims that vaccines don’t cause autism or SIDS:

• A police officer who investigated 300 SIDS cases over a 7 year period (about 3 to 4 cases per month), observed that 75% of the cases happened within 48 hours after a vaccine.
  
• A couple who got their triplets (not identical) vaccinated all developed autism within hours after the shot (and each other).
  

These anecdotes happened, and they are “statistically impossible” to have happened by chance (at least not in our lifetime).
I don’t believe it is possible to attack this data or explain it away.
Too many SIDS cases happened within 48 hours of the vaccine for the vaccine not to have caused the deaths
In an earlier Substack, I reported the case of a police officer assigned to investigate SIDS cases over a 7 year period who observed that 75% of the 300 cases happened within 48 hours of a vaccine.
At the time, I wasn’t sure how to calculate the probability of that happening.
But now, thanks to Professor Norman Fenton, I do.
If SIDS is just randomly happening to babies, and babies are vaccinated every 60 days like clockwork, the chance of a SIDS death happening within any 48 hour window post-vaccine is 1/30.
So if there are 300 babies who died of SIDS, we’d expect that 10 of them, on average, would happen within every 48 hour window post vaccine.
So what are the chances of 75% of these deaths (or more) happening within 48 hours after the shot?
The calculation is trivial to get the chance of seeing 225 deaths or more:

Code:

>>> poisson.sf(225-1,10)

3.7718601504237225e-213

That’s not a typo. 10 to the -213. That’s as close to impossible as it gets.
In other words, if SIDS is randomly happening with respect to the time of vaccination, it is impossible to have made this observation. We can cherry pick all we want, we’ll never find a cherry like this to pick. Ever.
This leads to the inevitable conclusion that the vaccines are the primary cause of SIDS, and that they are, at a minimum, causing 75% or more of all SIDS cases.
What’s so special about this police officer
She asked the parents of the deceased when the child was last vaccinated!!
Few other police officers in the world would ever ask such a question because they all know that “it couldn’t be the vaccine.”
So we were lucky enough to find a police officer that asked the question for each of her cases.
And by the way, even if she got it wrong and only 10% of the cases were within 48 hours of the vaccine, there is, by random chance, less than 1 chance in a million of observing that.
Our autism anecdote is also impossible if vaccines aren’t causing autism
The McDowell triplets (featured in the movie Vaxxed II) all got autism on the same day, within hours of each other.
Did that happen by chance? It happened within hours of their vaccine injection.
Check this out. Nearly 1M views in less than 24 hours after posting.



Again, the calculation is trivial.
Say kids only get autism between ages 1 and 4 to be conservative, so an exposure window of 3 years = 1095 days. The current rate of autism is 1 in every 35 kids per the CDC, but the McDowell triplets were vaccinated on June 25, 2007.



So around 1 in 100 kids would get autism in the 1095 day exposure period back in 2007.
So what’s the expected number of cases of autism in a single day per child? Pretty darn low: 1e-5. So if you have 3 kids, you’d expect to get 3e-5 autism cases in any 24 hour period, on average in 2007.
To see 3 (or more) events in a 24 hour window when you expected to see 3e-5 events is:

Code:

>>> poisson.sf(2,3e-5)

4.499898751214992e-15

This means that the McDowell triplets couldn’t have possibly happened by “bad luck.”
The vaccine they were given just hours earlier is the only possible way this event could have happened.
This means vaccines can cause autism.
We didn’t need more than one anecdote to prove that conclusively.
Speculation re: genes cause autism to happen at the same time
I just provided an anecdote where all three kids got autism within hours after a shot.
If you want to make the hand-waving argument that it is just a coincidence because triplets all get autism at the same time, simply show me a case where the autism happened in triplets all on the same day where a vaccine was not involved.
Also, explain this anecdote where one twin was given the vaccine and developed autism, and the twin not given the vaccine didn’t. You can simply show us the opposite anecdote where after the vaccine shot, the twin who did not get the vaccine got autism and the twin who got the vaccine did not get autism.
If you cannot provide evidence for either, your argument lacks evidentiary support and is simply not credible.
These two verifiable “black swan” anecdotes should be all that is needed to disprove the null hypothesis and totally discredit the medical community on these important issues
The medical consensus was that “black swans” don’t exist, i.e., vaccines don’t cause SIDS or autism.
It takes only a single verifiable sighting of a “black swan” to prove that the consensus was wrong.
[…]
Via https://kirschsubstack.com/p/two-verifiable-anecdotes-are-the


THANKS TO: https://stuartbramhall.wordpress.com/2023/08/06/vaccines-and-sids-crib-death/